Data centers are black boxes, but California wants to change that

“As scientists, when we went to research state offers in California, I was kind of dismayed by the lack of information that there was to work with. And so I’m happy [AB 1577] passed,” Specht says.

Specht co-authored a fact sheet this year on how data centers could impact the power grid and utility rates in California. It describes one scenario where several factors drive up costs for Californians: ballooning electricity demand; a need for expensive new infrastructure to connect data centers to high-voltage transmission systems; and the risk of overbuilding if the AI bubble pops and data centers don’t end up using as much electricity as projected, leaving other utility customers to foot the bill .

A different scenario shows data centers could actually lower electricity costs

On the other hand, a different scenario shows data centers could actually lower electricity costs. Electricity rates include fixed costs for grid maintenance, so spreading those costs across more customers can bring bills down for everyone. The catch is that the potential savings depend on data centers contributing to costs across the distribution system that serves smaller customers at lower voltages. Large data centers often avoid these costs by connecting instead to the transmission system, which carries high-voltage electricity.

Without more information, it’s impossible to say which scenario is taking shape in California. “I wouldn’t say definitively that data centers have increased the cost [of electricity],” Specht says. “It’s possible they may even have brought them down some already, I just don’t think we have the numbers to demonstrate it.”

Even if data centers aren’t having much effect on electricity rates yet, that’s likely to change as their power needs grow, Specht adds — making it all the more important to see how much energy they’re using. “It’s just about getting ahead of it before we all start feeling it,” he tells The Verge .

Data centers’ water use has been just as opaque. While studying the impact of data centers on water-stressed communities in California, researchers from Santa Clara University recently contacted every water provider in districts housing data centers. Citing privacy regulations, the providers in every district refused to share data on how much water data centers use. The researchers also discovered that very few data centers in the state had environmental impact reports available to the public.

The laws still leave big gaps in what data centers need to report

That dearth of information is even more concerning considering what the researchers were able to find. As AI drives the development of hyperscale data centers, these facilities are moving farther from more affluent urban areas into more rural areas where small water systems and lower-income communities may have more difficulty coping with the added demand.

The laws still leave big gaps in what data centers need to report. Specifically, AB 2619 and AB 2469 only require companies to make water disclosures when applying for permits or getting a business license, so we won’t know how much water they’re actually using from year to year. The year in which they share their water use could be particularly wet or cool, not necessarily reflecting how much water the facility needs when it’s hotter and drier. It also makes it difficult to see if a data center’s consumption is growing or if a company is following through on its sustainability goals.

Still, “This is in many ways a step in the right direction. It’s signaling to the industry that people are paying attention, that lawmakers are paying attention,” says Iris Stewart-Frey, the lead author of that water report and a professor of environmental science at Santa Clara University.

She notes that Newsom actually vetoed a similar water disclosure bill last year, but that data centers have become a bigger concern for the public since then.

“The whole AI wave is not a force of nature, it’s not a hurricane,” she says. “This is something that we can actually regulate.”

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